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Incest and prediction of sex offense

ABSTRACT: Forensic and clinical psychologists have long been asked to make predictions about violence, despite the fact that, in the past, such predictions have been notoriously inaccurate. Several states now have sexual predator laws which require predictions to be made concerning the likelihood of recidivism. Since the U. Supreme Court in Kansas v.
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IPT Journal - "Assessing Violent Recidivism in Sexual Offenders"

The views expressed are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of the Ministry of the Solicitor General of Canada. This review provides a quantitative summary of recidivism risk factors for sexual offenders. Sexual offense recidivism was best predicted by measures of sexual deviance e. The predictors of nonsexual violent recidivism and general recidivism were similar to those recidivism predictors found among nonsexual criminals. No single factor was sufficiently related to recidivism, however, to justify its use in isolation. There remains a need for research to identify changeable, dynamic risk factors. Sexual victimization is a serious social problem.
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Recidivism of Sex Offenders May Introduction The criminal justice system manages most convicted sex offenders with some combination of incarceration, community supervision, and specialized treatment Knopp, Freeman-Longo, and Stevenson, While the likelihood and length of incarceration for sex offenders has increased in recent years since , the number of imprisoned sex offenders has grown by more than 7 percent per year; in , nearly one in ten state prisoners were incarcerated for committing a sex offense [Greenfeld, ] , the majority are released at some point on probation or parole either immediately following sentencing or after a period of incarceration in prison or jail. About 60 percent of all sex offenders managed by the U.
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R ecidivism has been conceptually defined as the reversion to criminal behavior by an individual who was previously convicted of a criminal offense Maltz, It reflects both the individual's recurrent failure to abide by society's laws and the failure of the criminal justice system to "correct" the individual's law-breaking behavior Maltz, While the etiology of criminal behavior is complex see Chapter 2 , "Etiology of Adult Sexual Offending," in the Adult section and recidivism results from a range of personal and social factors, it is important to recognize that recidivism is not simply another term for repeat offending. Rather, it refers to the recurrence of illegal behavior after an individual experiences legal consequences or correctional interventions imposed, at least in part, to eliminate that behavior or prevent it from occurring again Henslin,
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